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๐Ÿ”„PortalAJ Ferrari (#1, 285 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Nebraskaโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedRyan Crookham (#4, 133 lbs) commits to Iowa โ€” transfers from Lehighโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedIowa fan joined as All-American member โ€” $50/mo supporting Hawkeyes Wrestlingโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Iowa board: "Ryan Crookham at 133 โ€” does this push us past Nebraska?"โ—†โœ๏ธSignedJaxon Smith (#5, 174 lbs) signs with Oklahoma State โ€” transfers from Marylandโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Iowa Hawkeyes fan with access to full roster analyticsโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalNico Provo (#2, 125 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Stanfordโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedPenn State fan joined as Champion member โ€” $100/mo supporting Nittany Lions Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedCarter Schubert (#9, 165 lbs) commits to Iowa โ€” transfers from Oklahomaโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Penn State board: "Can we hold the #1 ranking through the portal window?"โ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalAnthony Echemendia (#2, 141 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Iowa Stateโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Penn State Nittany Lions fan joined the community boardโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedNebraska fan joined as Qualifier member โ€” $15/mo supporting Cornhuskers Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedBennett Berge (#11, 184 lbs) commits to Oklahoma State โ€” transfers from South Dakota Stateโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalMeyer Shapiro (#5, 157 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Cornellโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Nebraska board: "Ferrari leaving โ€” what does the 285 lb picture look like now?"โ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Oklahoma State Cowboys fan unlocked transfer portal toolsโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedOklahoma State fan joined as All-American member โ€” $50/mo supporting Cowboys Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedKade Brown (#11, 149 lbs) commits to Ohio State โ€” transfers from Pittsburghโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalHunter Garvin (#10, 165 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Stanfordโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalLorenzo Norman (#15, 174 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Stanfordโ—†โœ๏ธSignedNick Fine (#20, 174 lbs) signs with Iowa โ€” transfers from Columbiaโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedOhio State fan joined as Champion member โ€” $100/mo supporting Buckeyes Wrestlingโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Oklahoma State board: "Jaxon Smith + Bennett Berge โ€” best portal class in the Big 12?"โ—†โœ๏ธCommittedBrendan McCrone (#8, 125 lbs) commits to North Carolina โ€” transfers from Ohio Stateโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Nebraska Cornhuskers fan tracking AJ Ferrari's portal statusโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalNicolar Rivera (#16, 125 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Wisconsinโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedVirginia Tech fan joined as All-American member โ€” $50/mo supporting Hokies Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedTyler Eise (#12, 174 lbs) commits to Oklahoma โ€” transfers from Nebraskaโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread in College Wrestling: "2027 NCAA bracket predictions โ€” who cracks the top 4?"โ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalJordan Williams (#18, 157 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Iowaโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Ohio State Buckeyes fan joined the 149 lb upgrade discussionโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Iowa board: "Echemendia at 141 โ€” does this move push us past Ohio State?"โ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalAJ Ferrari (#1, 285 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Nebraskaโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedRyan Crookham (#4, 133 lbs) commits to Iowa โ€” transfers from Lehighโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedIowa fan joined as All-American member โ€” $50/mo supporting Hawkeyes Wrestlingโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Iowa board: "Ryan Crookham at 133 โ€” does this push us past Nebraska?"โ—†โœ๏ธSignedJaxon Smith (#5, 174 lbs) signs with Oklahoma State โ€” transfers from Marylandโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Iowa Hawkeyes fan with access to full roster analyticsโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalNico Provo (#2, 125 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Stanfordโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedPenn State fan joined as Champion member โ€” $100/mo supporting Nittany Lions Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedCarter Schubert (#9, 165 lbs) commits to Iowa โ€” transfers from Oklahomaโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Penn State board: "Can we hold the #1 ranking through the portal window?"โ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalAnthony Echemendia (#2, 141 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Iowa Stateโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Penn State Nittany Lions fan joined the community boardโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedNebraska fan joined as Qualifier member โ€” $15/mo supporting Cornhuskers Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedBennett Berge (#11, 184 lbs) commits to Oklahoma State โ€” transfers from South Dakota Stateโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalMeyer Shapiro (#5, 157 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Cornellโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Nebraska board: "Ferrari leaving โ€” what does the 285 lb picture look like now?"โ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Oklahoma State Cowboys fan unlocked transfer portal toolsโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedOklahoma State fan joined as All-American member โ€” $50/mo supporting Cowboys Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedKade Brown (#11, 149 lbs) commits to Ohio State โ€” transfers from Pittsburghโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalHunter Garvin (#10, 165 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Stanfordโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalLorenzo Norman (#15, 174 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Stanfordโ—†โœ๏ธSignedNick Fine (#20, 174 lbs) signs with Iowa โ€” transfers from Columbiaโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedOhio State fan joined as Champion member โ€” $100/mo supporting Buckeyes Wrestlingโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Oklahoma State board: "Jaxon Smith + Bennett Berge โ€” best portal class in the Big 12?"โ—†โœ๏ธCommittedBrendan McCrone (#8, 125 lbs) commits to North Carolina โ€” transfers from Ohio Stateโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Nebraska Cornhuskers fan tracking AJ Ferrari's portal statusโ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalNicolar Rivera (#16, 125 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Wisconsinโ—†๐Ÿ’ฐSupportedVirginia Tech fan joined as All-American member โ€” $50/mo supporting Hokies Wrestlingโ—†โœ๏ธCommittedTyler Eise (#12, 174 lbs) commits to Oklahoma โ€” transfers from Nebraskaโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread in College Wrestling: "2027 NCAA bracket predictions โ€” who cracks the top 4?"โ—†๐Ÿ”„PortalJordan Williams (#18, 157 lbs) has entered the transfer portal โ€” leaving Iowaโ—†โญMemberNew RosterBoss.AI Pro member โ€” Ohio State Buckeyes fan joined the 149 lb upgrade discussionโ—†๐Ÿ’ฌDiscussionNew thread on Iowa board: "Echemendia at 141 โ€” does this move push us past Ohio State?"โ—†
Ranking Projections

Points by Placement

Simple, direct model: placement points + advancement points. If your wrestler places 3rd, you earn 13.5 team points. No probabilities โ€” just the math.

Champion
21
16 placement + 5 advancement
3rd Place
13.5
10 placement + 3.5 advancement
8th Place AA
5
3 placement + 2 advancement
Max Team Score
210
10 champions ร— 21 pts each

NCAA Team Points by Finish Position

21
16
13.5
12
10
8.5
6.5
5
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
FinishPlacement PtsAdvancement PtsTotal Pts
1
Champion
All-American
16+521
2
Runner-Up
All-American
12+416
3
3rd Place
All-American
10+3.513.5
4
4th Place
All-American
9+312
5
5th Place
All-American
7+310
6
6th Place
All-American
6+2.58.5
7
7th Place
All-American
4+2.56.5
8
8th Place
All-American
3+25

Bonus points (pin = +2, tech fall = +1.5, major decision = +1) are additional and not included here. This model gives you the predictable floor for roster planning.

Team Score Scenarios

Projected team totals for common roster profiles (placement + advancement, no bonus)

Elite Program (4 champs + 6 top-4)
Penn State / Iowa tier
160.5
pts
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
4
3
4
Strong Program (2 champs + 8 top-8)
Top 5 nationally
116.0
pts
1
1
3
4
5
6
7
8
5
6
Competitive Program (1 champ + 9 AA)
Top 10โ€“15 nationally
94.5
pts
1
3
5
6
7
8
5
6
7
8
Developing Program (10 qualifiers)
~30โ€“40 pts range
60.0
pts
5
6
7
8
โ€”
โ€”
5
6
7
8

About This Model

What's included

Placement points (official NCAA scoring) + advancement points (1pt per champ bracket win, 0.5pt per consolation win). These are guaranteed for reaching a given placement.

What's not included

Bonus points from pins (+2), tech falls (+1.5), and major decisions (+1). These add real value but vary by wrestler. Add them manually for more precise projections.

Future refinement

Historical placement data by weight class will be added to show which weight classes historically over- or under-perform their national ranking at NCAAs.